Will Bitcoin close above $120,000 on Sep 30?

Resolves Yes per CF Benchmarks BRR. Volume $6M · Open interest 2.8M contracts · Settles in 40d

44¢Yes · 44%56¢No · 56%

Probability of Yes · volume bars

Order book · YesContracts

47¢2,961

46¢916

45¢2,169

44¢1,440

43¢3,642

42¢2,740

Rules & resolutionResolves to Yes if the CF Benchmarks BRR for Sep 30, 2026 is strictly greater than $120,000.00.Full rules on Kalshi

Related:BTC above $110KETH above $3KTrade BTC‑USD perps →

Buy Yes

ContractsAvailable $0.00

× 44¢

Payoff

Cost$44.00

Pays if Yes$100.00

Max loss$45.73

Breakeven probability45.7%

Return if correct+118.7% after fees

Kalshi fee · $0.07 × 0.44 × 0.56 × 100$1.73

OpenSea share · 30% of fee (included)$0.52

Total$45.73

Fee recomputes as the price moves — highest at 50¢ (1.75¢), lowest near 0¢ or $1. OpenSea's share is inside Kalshi's fee, never added.

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