Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps in September?

Resolves Yes per FOMC statement. Volume $28M · Open interest 12.9M contracts · Settles in 27d

71¢Yes · 71%29¢No · 29%

Probability of Yes · volume bars

Order book · YesContracts

74¢2,961

73¢916

72¢2,169

71¢1,440

70¢3,642

69¢2,740

Rules & resolutionResolves to Yes if the FOMC lowers the target range for the federal funds rate by exactly 25 basis points at its September meeting, per the official FOMC statement.Full rules on Kalshi

Related:Cut 50 bpsNo change

Buy Yes

ContractsAvailable $0.00

× 71¢

Payoff

Cost$71.00

Pays if Yes$100.00

Max loss$72.45

Breakeven probability72.5%

Return if correct+38.0% after fees

Kalshi fee · $0.07 × 0.71 × 0.29 × 100$1.45

OpenSea share · 30% of fee (included)$0.44

Total$72.45

Fee recomputes as the price moves — highest at 50¢ (1.75¢), lowest near 0¢ or $1. OpenSea's share is inside Kalshi's fee, never added.

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