Will the Democratic candidate win the Virginia governor race?

Resolves Yes per Virginia Department of Elections. Volume $10M · Open interest 4.4M contracts · Settles in 73d

58¢Yes · 58%42¢No · 42%

Probability of Yes · volume bars

Order book · YesContracts

61¢2,961

60¢916

59¢2,169

58¢1,440

57¢3,642

56¢2,740

Rules & resolutionResolves to Yes if the Democratic Party's nominee is certified the winner of the 2026 Virginia gubernatorial election.Full rules on Kalshi

Related:Turnout above 45%

Buy Yes

ContractsAvailable $0.00

× 58¢

Payoff

Cost$58.00

Pays if Yes$100.00

Max loss$59.71

Breakeven probability59.7%

Return if correct+67.5% after fees

Kalshi fee · $0.07 × 0.58 × 0.42 × 100$1.71

OpenSea share · 30% of fee (included)$0.51

Total$59.71

Fee recomputes as the price moves — highest at 50¢ (1.75¢), lowest near 0¢ or $1. OpenSea's share is inside Kalshi's fee, never added.

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